May'18 Issue 15
Inside This Issue
- Introduction: Who is DRK?
- DRK Insight and Studies
- Regional Developments
- Turkey Security Incident Overview (1 Month)
- Turkey Security Incident Overview (3 Months)
- Iran nuclear deal “neither fully fixed nor fully nixed’’
- How mature is your organization to prevent or overcome any disruptions?
Introduction: Who is DRK?
DRK is a Risk Consultancy and Security Management Company which provides sustainable security support to its clients with high accuracy risk assessments and security management in any region across Turkey and various areas in the neighboring countries.
Contrary to the classical, narrow security approaches in the sector the most important feature of DRK is that it focuses on Business Continuity and Company Resilience throughout the entire project life cycle security.
DRK Insights and Studies
- Designating Turkey’s Security Concerns in Syria: Ongoing Conflict in Idlib
- Unlawful Referendum Attempt of Kurdistan Regional Government (KRG) and Its Implications
- Turkey – NATO Relations; Perspectives for the Future
- Egypt Mosque Attack: A Brief Analysis and Possible Consequences
- A Strategic Target: Oil and Gas Pipelines
- The Increasing Tension Between Iran and S. Arabia and Its Possible Implications for Global Business
- Possible Business – Wise Repercussions of a Potential Turkish Army intervention into Afrin Region in Northern Syria
- PKK-PYD-ISIS, Interactions; Future Possibilities on the Regional Terrorism Developments
Reliable security assessments and applications should be derived by a holistic and top down approach to the security environment, depending on the variations respectively from areas of interests, to the areas of effect, and to the areas of business operations.
The employment of technology along with the professional analysis of risks and precautions form the very basis of a successful security system.
Dozens of French Military Personnel Spotted on Syria's Manbij Border: A senior member of the Military Council of Manbij told that about 50 French soldiers are stationed on duty in the area. While in the north of Manbij work is currently underway to establish a French military base.
(Accessed on May 1, 2018)
U.S.-backed militants resume battle against ISIS: U.S.-backed Syrian militias relaunched their offensive to seize the last territory ISIS controls in the east near the border with Iraq. Ahmed Abu Khawla, commander of the Deir al-Zor military council fighting under the SDF, said they were working with the Baghdad government and Iraqi army “through a joint operations room” to defeat the jihadists.
(Accessed on May 1, 2018)
As Lebanon chooses a new parliament, Hezbollah gains power and prime minister’s fortunes fade: Lebanon’s Hezbollah paramilitary movement emerged Monday as the main victor in the country’s first election in almost a decade, securing veto power in the Lebanese parliament as the prime minister’s fortunes fell. Interior Minister Nouhad Machnouk said Iran-backed Hezbollah and its parliamentary allies won more than a third of the 128 seats, which would leave them as a dominant force in the Lebanese legislature.
(Accessed on May 7, 2018)
620 Syrian police candidates to assume security duties in Afrin after being trained by Turkey: A total of 620 Syrian police candidates has been assuming the security duties of Syria’s northwestern Afrin region starting from May 10 after completing the basic training given by the Turkish Police Academy.
(Accessed on May 9, 2018)
Iran's 'First-ever' Attack on Israel and Israel's Most Extensive Syria Strike in Decades: Iranian forces fired 20 rockets at Israel Defense Forces positions in the Golan Heights on Wednesday night. Four of the rockets aimed toward Israel were intercepted while the remaining rockets exploded on Syrian territory, the military said. The Iranian attack prompted the most extensive Israeli strike on Syria in decades; overnight, Israel openly attacked dozens of Iranian military and logistics targets in Syria.
(Accessed on May 11, 2018)
Turkey sets up 11th observation post in Syria’s Idlib: The Turkish Armed Forces (TSK) have set up the 11th observation post in the Idlib province of northern Syria in a bid to monitor an ongoing truce between the Syrian regime and armed opposition groups, the military announced in a written statement on May 14.
(Accessed on May 14, 2018)
Iraq vote: Initial results show Muqtada al-Sadr leading: The political coalition of influential Shia religious leader Muqtada al-Sadr took an early lead in Iraq's national elections in partial returns announced late on Sunday by the Iraqi electoral commission.
(Accessed on May 14, 2018)
Israeli forces kill dozens of Palestinians at US embassy protests: Israeli forces have killed 41 Palestinians and wounded at least 900 in Gaza, health officials said, as troops fired bullets at residents protesting against the Monday opening of the US embassy in Jerusalem. Around 60 miles away in an affluent neighborhood of Jerusalem, Washington’s ambassador, David Friedman, stood on a stage painted with the US flag and welcomed a delegation of US and Israeli VIPs, including the president’s daughter, Ivanka.
(Accessed on May 14, 2018)
Turkey Security Incident Overview – 1 Month (April 15 – May 15, 2018)
Turkey Security Incident Overview – 3 Months (February 15 – May 15, 2018)
Effective security management, in its essence, should mean a support for the “Continuity of Business” rather than the blocking of business wise activities due to the security regulations.
Iran nuclear deal ‘’neither fully fixed nor fully nixed’’
After years of tension over its alleged efforts to develop a nuclear weapon- Iran insisted that its nuclear program was entirely peaceful- in 2015 Iran had to agree on a long-term deal with the P5+1 group of world powers namely U.S., UK, France, China, Russia and Germany on its nuclear program in return for the lifting of crippling economic sanctions.
Under the accord, Iran agreed to limit its sensitive nuclear activities and allowed international inspectors according the commitments which are set out in the Joint Comprehensive Plan of Action (JCPOA).
By calling it "decaying and rotten," President Trump signed a presidential memorandum on May 8th, 2018 and announced that he is pulling out the U.S. from the Iran-nuclear deal. Moreover he pledged that a restoration of harsh sanctions aiming at restricting Iran's capacity to sell oil or conduct other overseas business is on the way and warned other countries to refrain from helping the Iranian government anyhow.
The effects of Trump's decision leaving the Iran nuclear deal, would be detrimental to Iran's economy by cutting its oil exports in half -Iran is the third-biggest OPEC producer, produces about 3.8 million barrels per day (bpd), or about 4 percent of the world’s oil supplies- and effectively sever it off from the rest of the global financial system and would be suffered not only by Iran but also globally.
Behind the declaration of other 5+1 countries to pursue the accord contrary to U.S. decision, lies the truth not to endanger Billions of dollars of deals signed by international companies with Iran, which are under threat due to the US president’s announcement and pledged restoration of looming harsh sanctions on Iran.
From the political point of view this decision might bode a bigger crack in NATO and heightened geopolitical risks in the region especially if Iran retaliates against the recent missile attacks of Israel. DRK consider that this may harm the stability of the region and ignite a state to state war replacing the proxy wars in the region.
Security is an interdisciplinary area, the tools of which extend definitely beyond the scope of employment of Security Personnel and CCTV systems.
How mature is your organization to prevent or overcome any disruptions?
Organizations are operating in a web of risks consisting of strategic, financial, operational, and commercial/technical risks. In such environment, when a risk cascades, it might lead to sudden disruptions and even collapse of the business. Dealing with these complex risks in an interconnected business system is complicated. Thus, it requires organizational maturity and compliance as well as competency in adaptive security management and interdisciplinary knowledge.
In this context, organizations must have an enterprise risk management system, business-driven proactive and adaptive security management system as well as business continuity management system based on risk mitigation, disaster response and recovery, emergency management and, contingency planning. These systems are subordinated under an overarching system called “resiliency management.” Resiliency Management employs a holistic and overall focus on both the risk environment and business needs to make the organizations more resistant to all types of internal or external source of disruptions.
DRK is a highly competent company in resiliency management which is capable of assessing, planning and implementing the entire process by offering tailored, cost-effective and reliable package solutions to companies and organizations.